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#356090 - Mon Mar 08 2010 04:23 AM Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts
BagOfCrisps Offline
SJ'er with 5000+ posts

Registered: Fri Sep 13 2002
Posts: 6413
Loc: London
Quote:
Britain was in for a season of mildness, the Met Office announced, shortly before the coldest winter in 31 years. That followed the prediction of a barbecue summer that went on to leave the nation with some very soggy sausages.

Now the Met Office is to abandon the seasonal forecasts that have brought it so much recent humiliation.

While the move will be seen inevitably as a climbdown, the Met Office insists that it comes after widespread public polling over the past few months.

“All our research shows that the public aren’t interested in seasonal weather forecasts, but they do want a monthly forecast, which we’ll be running on our website,” an official said.


If they quite because of lack of success in their forecasting, we will soon be getting not much more than "what it will be doing in 10 minutes" forecasts. And that will be wrong too!

lol

Question: are forecasts better in some countries than others? And why? Is it the technology used, or something that makes the weather moe unpredictable?
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#356101 - Mon Mar 08 2010 06:51 AM Re: Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts [Re: BagOfCrisps]
JA Offline
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Registered: Sat Nov 24 2007
Posts: 2788
Loc: Tamworth, Australia
Global warming making the predictions less reliable?

I dunno, just a thought.
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#356130 - Mon Mar 08 2010 11:09 AM Re: Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts [Re: JA]
quattro Offline
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Registered: Thu Mar 04 2004
Posts: 692
Loc: sapporo
Originally Posted By: JA
Global warming making the predictions less reliable?

I dunno, just a thought.


Global warming has been debunked. They just never got the message so there predictions were off. lol
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#356166 - Mon Mar 08 2010 04:53 PM Re: Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts [Re: quattro]
Tubby Beaver Online   content
SJ'er with 7500+ posts

Registered: Mon Feb 09 2004
Posts: 7928
Loc: Fujisawa
The UK Met Office absolutley suck at predicting the weather......they couldn't predict the colour of their socks in the morning!! I reckon Chimps would be able to do a better job than the Muppets at the Met Office. Japan's weather predictions seem to be pretty damn good...the daily ones anyway. Often they'll say things like it'll be sunny till about 2pm and then it'll rain and lo and behold, around 2pm the clouds gather and the heavens open.
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#356168 - Mon Mar 08 2010 05:03 PM Re: Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts [Re: Tubby Beaver]
MikePow Offline
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Registered: Sat Oct 13 2007
Posts: 1030
Loc: Hirafu, Hokkaido
The Met Office forecasts for the Brecon Beacons National Park have been spot since September 2009.

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#356200 - Mon Mar 08 2010 06:14 PM Re: Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts [Re: MikePow]
Go Native Online   content
SJ'er with 3000+ posts

Registered: Fri Dec 30 2005
Posts: 3210
Loc: Kutchan
Originally Posted By: MikePow
The Met Office forecasts for the Brecon Beacons National Park have been spot since September 2009.

lol

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#356210 - Mon Mar 08 2010 07:16 PM Re: Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts [Re: Go Native]
MikePow Offline
SJ'er with 1000+ posts

Registered: Sat Oct 13 2007
Posts: 1030
Loc: Hirafu, Hokkaido
No joking. They've been excellent.

So too the Welsh weather on BBC media.

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#356256 - Tue Mar 09 2010 04:44 AM Re: Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts [Re: Tubby Beaver]
BagOfCrisps Offline
SJ'er with 5000+ posts

Registered: Fri Sep 13 2002
Posts: 6413
Loc: London
Originally Posted By: Tubby Beaver
The UK Met Office absolutley suck at predicting the weather......they couldn't predict the colour of their socks in the morning!! I reckon Chimps would be able to do a better job than the Muppets at the Met Office. Japan's weather predictions seem to be pretty damn good...the daily ones anyway. Often they'll say things like it'll be sunny till about 2pm and then it'll rain and lo and behold, around 2pm the clouds gather and the heavens open.


They control the weather, that's why. slap
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#356307 - Tue Mar 09 2010 11:50 AM Re: Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts [Re: BagOfCrisps]
thursday Offline
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Registered: Tue Jul 18 2006
Posts: 19664
Loc: 香港
how does one predict the colour of one's socks?

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#356308 - Tue Mar 09 2010 11:51 AM Re: Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts [Re: thursday]
thursday Offline
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Registered: Tue Jul 18 2006
Posts: 19664
Loc: 香港
I have white ones and black ones.

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#356592 - Wed Mar 10 2010 06:07 PM Re: Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts [Re: thursday]
rach Offline
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Registered: Fri Jan 25 2002
Posts: 5559
Loc: Kobe
When I am back in the UK the forecast always seems to be cloudy, with sunny period and showers. Or just heavy rain. They always seem to get that right, I think they just guess. lol

They do get some stick though don't they. Good to hear that they have actually done a good job there Mike.
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#356594 - Wed Mar 10 2010 06:18 PM Re: Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts [Re: thursday]
Tubby Beaver Online   content
SJ'er with 7500+ posts

Registered: Mon Feb 09 2004
Posts: 7928
Loc: Fujisawa
Originally Posted By: thursday
how does one predict the colour of one's socks?


the same way you make any prediction, take a look at the facts and make an educated judgement on what you think its likely to be....so if your socks are only black & white then you have a 1 in 2 chance of a correct prediction right off the bat.....take into account your other clothes and make an educated guess
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#356596 - Wed Mar 10 2010 06:36 PM Re: Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts [Re: Tubby Beaver]
Black Mountain Offline
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Registered: Wed Dec 17 2008
Posts: 884
Loc: Shizuoka
Mate, you've only got black and white socks? WTF?! How boring is that!
cheers iamright

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#356802 - Fri Mar 12 2010 04:04 AM Re: Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts [Re: Black Mountain]
pie-eater Offline
SJ'er with 2000+ posts

Registered: Thu Oct 09 2003
Posts: 2966
Loc: Wigan, UK > JAPAN
Bloody ace weather here though at the moment.
Mr Weather seemsto be saying it might all be over soon.
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#356952 - Sat Mar 13 2010 01:50 PM Re: Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts [Re: quattro]
Oyuki kigan Offline
SJ'er with 1000+ posts

Registered: Sun Oct 03 2004
Posts: 1875
Loc: Nagano-ken, Japan
Originally Posted By: quattro


Global warming has been debunked. They just never got the message so there predictions were off. lol


News travels slowly to my parts. When and how did this happen?
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#356953 - Sat Mar 13 2010 01:51 PM Re: Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts [Re: Oyuki kigan]
Go Native Online   content
SJ'er with 3000+ posts

Registered: Fri Dec 30 2005
Posts: 3210
Loc: Kutchan
It didn't....

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#356954 - Sat Mar 13 2010 04:05 PM Re: Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts [Re: Go Native]
Mantas Offline
SJ'er with 3000+ posts

Registered: Sun Jun 18 2006
Posts: 3008
Loc: Australia
The weather reports here are extremely accurate, but they usually go something like this.

Tomorrow will be mostly fine and sunny with the chance of rain showers devoping through the day. Winds will be 5-25 knots from the SW-SE turning NE-NW during the day.
Temperatures will be between 10 and 35 deg.
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#356967 - Sat Mar 13 2010 06:16 PM Re: Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts [Re: Mantas]
grungy-gonads Offline
SJ'er with 7500+ posts

Registered: Tue Jul 24 2001
Posts: 7522
Loc: Tokyo
I have also been known to predict earthquakes quite accurately.

Here's my latest:

There will be an earthquake of at least size magnitude 4.5 in eastern Japan before 30th July 2010. Please take all necessary precautions.

thumbsup
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#356972 - Sat Mar 13 2010 06:59 PM Re: Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts [Re: grungy-gonads]
Black Mountain Offline
SJ'er with 750+ posts

Registered: Wed Dec 17 2008
Posts: 884
Loc: Shizuoka
Sounds as accurate as my Saturday night predictions:

High likelihood of several beers followed by a moderate chance of gin and tonic developing into either late night dancing or karaoke. Sunday morning activities will range between making coffee, rubbing temples and reading the paper through blurry eyes. Probability of afternoon napping remains high.

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#356983 - Sun Mar 14 2010 01:15 AM Re: Britain Met Office gives up on long-term weather forecasts [Re: Black Mountain]
SKI Offline
SJ'er with 1000+ posts

Registered: Thu Oct 17 2002
Posts: 1834
Loc: Tokyo
gg tells his mum too so that no-one can claim he is making up his predictions wink
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